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Stock market calendar in November (US midterm elections and FOMC)

 Regarding FOMC,


This November 75bp is a fait accompli...


The key is to go from 75 + 75 to 75 + 50


If Lee Sun-yeop's recent view is correct... 


We can't let our allies such as Britain and Japan break down, and the U.S. is also a problem, so FOMC may control speed


​


the exchange rate


Yen, Euro Sluggish -> Dollar Strong


In connection with the interest rate hike, the exchange rate does not rise significantly, but I think it is limited...


The worst conditions met and made the exchange rate of 1400 won. In particular, Japan, which has a high proportion of the dollar index, has no choice because the euro is in meltdown


​


Real estate PF instability, bond market


The real estate PF instability triggered by the Legoland crisis has not been extinguished by the bond market stabilization fund and the supply of 50 trillion won in liquidity, but it feels a little more stable than the first issue. Even if the interest rate rises further, it will stop rising, and if there is an expectation that it can be lowered later, I will endure it somehow. I won't go for the best, but I'll bet on getting better


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in connection with the U.S. midterm elections


In U.S. midterm elections, the ruling party usually doesn't win much


If the Republicans take both houses of Congress...


Eco-friendly sector sentiment may be bad


Fossil fuels might be attracting attention. 


(If you look at ExxonMobil and Occidental, stocks are the best at smelling money.)


I don't think Saudi Arabia hates America, but Biden.


​


About Black Friday


Originally, Black Friday is a cheap way to take stock that companies have...


This year, each company should be nervous because they have stock piled up, but I don't know how it will be because inflation is severe. I always bought something on BLF with direct purchase from Korea... I don't think it's going to be much fun this year due to the soaring dollar exchange rate outside the U.S

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the similarities and differences between the financial crisis

 1. Similarities to the long-term decline after the financial crisis 1) a protracted rise in housing prices : The market was feeling tired. It's like a slap on the face when you want to cry.  ​ The upward trend from 2000 to 2008 before the 2008 financial crisis broke out ​ It has soared for the eighth consecutive year since the turnaround in 2014.  ​ 2) Real estate regulations put pressure on the market ​ At the end of the Roh Moo Hyunn regime before 2008, the ceiling on the sale price, the disclosure system of the sale price, and the expansion of regulations on mortgage loans were introduced ​ The Moon Jae Inn government recently announced 26 real estate measures, introduced a ceiling on the sale price, and introduced expanded loan regulations such as reducing loans for high-priced apartments ​ How far down in the past?  The rate of decline in apartment prices in Seoul until 2012, when the decline was at its peak ​ - Based on the Real Estate 114 Index: -7.5% - KB Kookmin Bank Inde
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the collapse of the Dow's 30,000 mark

 New York stocks fell sharply on concerns that the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike could plunge the economy into a recession. The Dow collapsed at the 30,000-point level for the first time since January 2021. ​ The Dow closed at 29,927.07, down 741.46 points or 2.42 percent from the previous day. The S&P 500 index closed at 3666.77, down 123.22 points (3.25%). The NASDAQ index fell 453.06 points (4.08%) to 16,646.10, the lowest level since September 2020. ​ The S&P 500 index and the NASDAQ index have entered a bear market, falling about 24% and 34% from their high points in January and November, respectively. Dow Ji-soon is down 19% from the record high recorded on January 5. ​ Interest rates on 10-year government bonds have fallen. The 10-year yield, which started at 3.289 percent on the same day, fell to 3.247 percent. The Dow's 30,000-point collapse...Wall Street's 'Critical Psychological Defense Line' Fears Collapse ​ Wall Street is concerned
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